Like the country's famed Tango shows, Argentina's stock market is hot. NEW YORK (CNNMoney)
Argentina's Merval Index (MERV) has skyrocketed almost 100% this year -- the highest of any stock market in the world. It includes many of the largest companies in the country such as Telecom Argentina and Energy Petrobras, along with banks and a steel maker.
But high rewards in emerging markets often come from high risks.
Related: Emerging markets roar back to life
Much of the money flowing into Argentina stocks this year has come from wealthy Latin American investors, particularly those from Uruguay and Brazil, according to Paul Christopher, Chief International Strategist at Wells Fargo (WFC)Advisors in St. Louis.
He believes many of these regional investors have a unique perspective because they have contacts in Argentina. They're willing to look past the nation's economic problems if they think there's a great return to be made.
"They know people there and can make investments feeling a little less concerned," Christopher said. "People believe the government can get out of this mess, whether that's right or wrong."
But that mess shouldn't be underestimated.
Argentina is still locked in a bitter battle with the so-called holdout bondholders, largely made up of hedge funds, from its 2001 default. The populist government of President Cristina Kirchner has refused to pay up, regularly referring to the holdouts as "vultures."
Inflation is also out of control. According to government data, it is around 30%, but many analysts suspect it's actually twice that. Argentina's peso has been in free fall since the beginning of the year, and there are fears that the government is running dangerously low on foreign currency reserves -- funds that are needed for a variety of purposes, including paying bondholders.
The country hasn't opened up its books to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in years.
Related: I went to Argentina and the currency crisis is no joke
Still, Argentina's stock market performance shows that many investors, at least in Latin America, think the country can find a way out of its current malaise.
Christopher noted that Brazil, which up until a few years ago was an economic powerhouse, is in recession, and the prospects there look even worse than Argentina.
"People think there's a light at the end of the tunnel, that Argentina has more room to run," he said. "You get paid to take that risk."
First Published: September 10, 2014: 12:08 AM ET
Anda sedang membaca artikel tentang
Sizzling: Argentina's stock market is up 100%
Dengan url
https://brokolsayuransehat.blogspot.com/2014/09/sizzling-argentinas-stock-market-is-up.html
Anda boleh menyebar luaskannya atau mengcopy paste-nya
Sizzling: Argentina's stock market is up 100%
namun jangan lupa untuk meletakkan link
Sizzling: Argentina's stock market is up 100%
sebagai sumbernya
0 komentar:
Posting Komentar